GORDON GROWTH MODEL

Gordon Growth Model Calculator

Value a share as next year’s dividend divided by required return minus perpetual growth.

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A growing dividend perpetuity

The Gordon growth model, the constant-growth dividend discount model, values a share as the present value of dividends that grow at one rate forever. Enter next year’s expected dividend D1. If you only have a just-paid D0, multiply it by 1 + growth first. Required return must exceed growth, or the perpetuity has no finite price. CAPM is one way to estimate the required equity return.

P0 = D1 ÷ (required return − growth)
If you have D0, D1 = D0 × (1 + growth)
Implied forward dividend yield = D1 ÷ P0 = required return − growth

Example

A $2.00 next-year dividend, 10% required return, and 4% perpetual growth has a 6% capitalization rate. Value is $2.00 ÷ 0.06 = $33.33. A $4.00 dividend at 12% required return and 4% growth is $50. Zero growth is a level perpetuity: $2.00 ÷ 10% = $20.

What this model leaves out

Use this single-stage model for a stable dividend-paying firm whose leverage, payout, and growth can remain sustainable. Perpetual growth should be consistent with the valuation currency and long-run economy. Multi-stage growth, buybacks, and changing payout ratios stay outside it. Values become extremely sensitive when required return approaches growth; negative growth is allowed.

Frequently asked questions

Should I enter D0 or D1?

Enter next year’s expected dividend D1. If you have the dividend just paid, multiply it by 1 + the growth rate first.

Why must required return exceed growth?

The formula is a growing perpetuity. When growth is at least the discount rate, the present value is not finite; values are also highly sensitive when the two rates are close.

How is this different from dividend yield?

Dividend yield divides a dividend by today’s market price. This page solves for a model price from D1, required return, and perpetual growth.

Can growth be negative?

Yes. Then dividends shrink and the capitalization rate is required return plus the shrinkage rate.

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